« サンタクロースとクリスマス | Main | 2005年市場予想 »

December 26, 2004

「有馬記念」&競馬必勝法?

今年(2004年)はさんまが「有馬記念」のコマーシ
ャルを盛り上げて、話題になっているので取り上げる。
私にとって競馬は単なる趣味にしか過ぎない。
しかし、馬自体はドラマの「優駿」を見てから興味を持
ち、東京郊外の馬術クラブに良く通った。どちらかとう
と競技系で次回の日本のオリンピックに出るつもりだっ
たが、結局レジャーになってしまった。
(でも一応乗っていた馬はG1のOB馬であるが)
秋からこの時期にかけての多摩の川は乗馬向けでもある。
1年ぐらい週5時間練習すれば一人で回れるだろうか。
**
「有馬記念」は千葉県船橋市の中山競馬場で行われる。
JR武蔵野線の船橋法典の前にありアクセスは非常に便利。
http://www.jra.go.jp/turf/nakayama/
**
中山競馬場というと「有馬記念」と「中山大障害」だが
「有馬記念」の歴史は古いものでない。府中の東京競馬
場に対抗するようなレースをということで有馬頼寧理事
長が1956年12月23日から催した「中山グランプ
リ」がはじまりである。翌年、有馬理事長が亡くなり、
「有馬記念」となった。
出走馬はプロ野球の「オールスター戦」と同じでファン
投票によって行われる。
http://keiba.nifty.com/
**
さて、投票権(馬券)を買うのは日本ダービーと春秋の
天皇賞、それとジャパンカップ(JC)ぐらいのものであ
る。有馬記念はあまりかわないが予想してみる。
私の予想法はJRAサイト、競馬ニフテイなどから数字を
拾い、最後はダービースタリオンなどのシュミレーショ
ンで走らせてみるという方法である。
LINUXでよいシュミレーションがあるが、万人向けでな
い。
http://www.paritybit.co.jp/Derby/Ds.htm
http://www.enterbrain.co.jp/game_site/dabisuta04/
最後に必ず追い切り、パドック情報を加味する。素人で
もやる気のある馬は何となく解るものである。
そしてフォースである。
このあたりは「アトランテスの心」(米映画、DVD)を
参照のこと。情報のないフォース(第6感)はありえな
い。
***
中山9R 有馬記念
JRAサイト有馬記念史
http://www.jra.go.jp/g1/21arima/arima.html
競馬ニフテイでも有馬記念の特集がされている。
http://keiba.nifty.com/race/index.html?param[race]=200406050809
追い切り情報だとコスモバルク○○、ダイタクバートラム×、
ゼンノブロイ△、デルタブルース○というところか。
このなかでもコスモバルクは追い切り情報でも状態が
良く、五十嵐騎手の闘志も十分なので本命である。
しかし、ペリエは、一昨年、昨年と2冠である。
武豊はいつも良い位置につけている。
(すべて単発買いが無難だが)

|

« サンタクロースとクリスマス | Main | 2005年市場予想 »

Comments

Higuchiさんへ。
大晦日にこんなことは書きたくないのだが、まことに申し訳ないのだが、ウチへ「宣教」書き込みいただくのは、もうやめていただけないでしょうか。
僕は体質的に「宣教」というのが大嫌いなのです。またあなたがどう僕を論破しようと、僕を「改宗」させられる見込みはありません。ちょうど僕があなたをどう論破しても、あなたが「棄教」なさらないだろうのと同じコトです。
僕の「宣教」嫌いのの理由もいいましょう。第一に、僕は宮崎県高千穂の生まれです。高千穂はむかしキリシタン十字軍(大友宗麟の)によって百近くの社寺を焼き討ちされています。これは豊後にいた宣教師、イエズス会のカブラルたちが教導したことでした。
第二に、僕はインディオ文明が好きで、その思考から強い影響を受けています。インディオたちの虐殺・奴隷化を、イデオロギー的に正当化したのが、キリスト教の宣教師だったことは、言うまでもなくご存知でしょう。
「異教徒との論争では、相手にどうこう言わせることはない、腹に剣を突き刺してしまえ」と言ったのは、中世の異端審問官ベルナール・ギィでした。魔女狩り・十字軍・ユダヤ人虐殺・黒人奴隷化・インディオ絶滅など、歴史を見ればキリスト教ほどひどい暴力をふるってきた宗教は他にない。そのようなものを正義だという神経が、僕には理解できないのです。
また、はっきり言ってこれも申し訳ないのだが、ウチのブログの読者からは、「あの宗教さんが気持ち悪い」というメールももらってます。あそこで宗教論争するのは、僕にとっても何ら得るところはないし(あなたにとってもそうでしょう)、ウチの読者が寄りつかなくなってしまいます。
というわけで、三たび申し訳ないのだが、宗教コメントは削除させていただきます。
もちろんあなたも、この書き込みは削除いただいて構いません。
ほんとうに大晦日にこんなことは書きたくなかったが、新年に引きずるのもイヤなので。以上、そういうことです。ご説法は、もっとヒマそうな人を見つけてやってください。


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